#10Notre Dame Fighting Irish
6–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
71%
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.5
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 71% → 70%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
Navy at #10 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat Navy and your playoff odds are 72%; lose and they drop to 22%.
Final · Navy 10–49 Notre DameWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
#5 Georgia at Mississippi State
Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Georgia 41–21 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+3.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBS
#9 Oregon at #20 Iowa
Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oregon 18–16 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
LSU at #4 Alabama
Seeding watch: LSU winning moves you from around the 8th seed toward the 7th — a friendlier bracket.
Final · LSU 9–20 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU≈0.3 seed lines
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #22 Missouri
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Missouri winning protects it; Texas A&M losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Texas A&M 38–17 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+2.2 pp first-round-bye odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.