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#12Notre Dame Fighting Irish

5–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
71%
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.6
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 71% → 71%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678910

If Notre Dame wins out: 0% to win the Independent, 77% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Notre Dame's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN
#12 Notre Dame at Boston College

Your game. Beat Boston College and your playoff odds are 71%; lose and they drop to 23%.

Final · Notre Dame 25–10 Boston CollegeWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
#8 Georgia Tech at NC State

You beat NC State — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Georgia Tech 36–48 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+2.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #7 Ole Miss

South Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · South Carolina 14–30 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+2.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#5 Georgia at Florida

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
Penn State at #1 Ohio State

Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Penn State 14–38 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Root for Ohio State+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#18 Oklahoma at #14 Tennessee

Oklahoma winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Oklahoma 33–27 TennesseeWish granted ✓
Root for Oklahoma+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#9 Vanderbilt at #20 Texas

Texas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWish granted ✓
Root for Texas+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · The CW Network
#16 Louisville at Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Louisville 28–16 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#17 Cincinnati at #24 Utah

Utah winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Cincinnati 14–45 UtahWish granted ✓
Root for Utah+1.6 pp playoff odds
43 more games that don't move your needle
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
Miami at SMU · ESPN
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
New Mexico at UNLV
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.