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Boise State Broncos

3–2 · 1–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
68%
MW title game
41%
Win the MW
17%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
How the week went: playoff odds 17% → 16% · title-game odds 68% → 77%.
Playoff odds by week
1234567

If Boise State wins out: 66% to win the MW, 40% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Boise State's path
Your game
…
… · FS1
New Mexico at Boise State

Your game. Beat New Mexico and your playoff odds are 19%; lose and they drop to 7%.

Final · New Mexico 25–41 Boise StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
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… · CBSSN
Air Force at UNLV

Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Air Force — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play UNLV in week 8.

Final · Air Force 48–51 UNLVWent the other way ✗
Root for Air Force+7.5 pp title-game odds
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… · ESPN2
#24 South Florida at North Texas

South Florida losing softens the sting of your loss to them.

Final · South Florida 63–36 North TexasWent the other way ✗
Root for North Texas+4.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
Fresno State at Colorado State

Mountain West race: Fresno State losing helps your spot in the standings; Colorado State visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · Fresno State 21–49 Colorado StateWish granted ✓
Root for Colorado State+4.7 pp title-game odds
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… · CBSSN
San Diego State at Nevada

Mountain West race: San Diego State losing helps your spot in the standings; Nevada visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Final · San Diego State 44–10 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+2.8 pp title-game odds
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…
Utah State at Hawai'i

Mountain West race: Utah State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Utah State in week 14.

Final · Utah State 26–44 Hawai'iWish granted ✓
Root for Hawai'i+2.7 pp title-game odds
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… · ESPN2
Louisiana at James Madison

Louisiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Louisiana 14–24 James MadisonWent the other way ✗
Root for Louisiana+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall

Marshall winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Old Dominion 24–48 MarshallWish granted ✓
Root for Marshall+1.6 pp playoff odds
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… · ESPN2
Navy at Temple

Navy winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Navy 32–31 TempleWish granted ✓
Root for Navy+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
San José State at Wyoming

Mountain West race: San José State losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · San José State 28–35 WyomingWish granted ✓
Root for Wyoming+1.9 pp title-game odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7).