Boise State Broncos
7–4 · 5–2 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
62%
MW title game
34%
Win the MW
4%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
How the week went: playoff odds 4% → 3% · title-game odds 62% → 100%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Boise State's pathYour game
…
… · CBS
Boise State at Utah State
Your game. Beat Utah State and your playoff odds are 7%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · Boise State 25–24 Utah StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPNU
Charlotte at #24 Tulane
Charlotte winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Charlotte 0–27 TulaneWent the other way ✗
Root for Charlotte+2.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
James Madison at Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · James Madison 59–10 Coastal CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for Coastal Carolina+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#21 SMU at California
California winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · SMU 35–38 CaliforniaWish granted ✓
Root for California+1.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
UNLV at Nevada
Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Nevada — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play UNLV in week 15.
Final · UNLV 42–17 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+2.1 pp title-game odds
62 more games that don't move your needle
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Ole Miss at Mississippi State · ABC
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Utah at Kansas · ESPN
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Texas A&M at Texas · ABC
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan · FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia · ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UCF at BYU · ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma · ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee · ESPN
Oregon at Washington · CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
Alabama at Auburn · ABC
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Wyoming at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.