Boise State Broncos
1–1 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
58%
MW title game
33%
Win the MW
9%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.9
How the week went: playoff odds 9% → 8% · title-game odds 58% → 56%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Boise State's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
Boise State at Air Force
Your game. Beat Air Force and your playoff odds are 12%; lose and they drop to 5%.
Final · Boise State 49–37 Air ForceWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
…
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Mountain West race: Fresno State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Fresno State in week 10.
Final · Fresno State 23–21 Hawai'iWent the other way ✗
Root for Hawai'i+3.1 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPNU
UNLV at Miami (OH)
Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play UNLV in week 8.
Final · UNLV 41–38 Miami (OH)Went the other way ✗
Root for Miami (OH)+1.9 pp title-game odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Tulane at Ole Miss · ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.