Boise State Broncos
6–3 · 4–1 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
82%
MW title game
48%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1% · title-game odds 82% → 46%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Boise State's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
Boise State at San Diego State
Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 98%; lose and they fall to 57%.
Final · Boise State 7–17 San Diego StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FS1
Wyoming at Fresno State
Mountain West race: Fresno State losing helps your spot in the standings; Fresno State losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Wyoming 3–24 Fresno StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Wyoming+4.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Utah State at UNLV
Mountain West race: Utah State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat UNLV — their wins make your résumé stronger; UNLV visits your schedule in week 15 — keep them ranked.
Final · Utah State 26–29 UNLVWish granted ✓
Root for UNLV+2.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
#24 South Florida at Navy
South Florida losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · South Florida 38–41 NavyWish granted ✓
Root for Navy+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB
UAB winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · North Texas 53–24 UABWent the other way ✗
Root for UAB+1.3 pp playoff odds
53 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Minnesota at Oregon · FOX
South Carolina at Texas A&M · ESPN
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · ABC
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Oklahoma at Alabama · ABC
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
UCF at Texas Tech · FOX
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Florida at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Utah at Baylor · ESPN2
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Texas at Georgia · ABC
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).