๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#25Boise State Broncos

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In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2025
The Week 1 recap

Boise State lost to South Florida. Playoff odds moved from 10% to 7%.

Your game

Boise State at South Florida
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Final
Boise State
Final ยท Boise State 7โ€“34 South FloridaWent the other way โœ—
South Florida

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Boise State wanted
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Impact 1
UNLV
at
Rooted for
Sam Houston
Final ยท UNLV 38โ€“21 Sam HoustonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

UNLV won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Sam Houston won47% with the other result2.1-point differenceBoise State MW title-game chance
46 other games had little impact
Georgia Southern at Fresno State ยท FS1
Iowa State at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas ยท FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky ยท CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i ยท CBS
Ohio at Rutgers ยท BTN
East Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Wyoming at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota ยท FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
App State at Charlotte ยท ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado ยท ESPN
Central Michigan at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee ยท ABC
Texas at Ohio State ยท FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland ยท BTN
Ball State at Purdue ยท BTN
Northwestern at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana ยท FS1
Alabama at Florida State ยท ABC
Marshall at Georgia ยท ESPN
Nevada at Penn State ยท CBS
Temple at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia ยท ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
LSU at Clemson ยท ABC
Missouri State at USC ยท BTN
New Mexico at Michigan ยท NBC
UTEP at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State ยท ESPN+
California at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona ยท TNT
Utah at UCLA ยท FOX
Colorado State at Washington ยท BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina ยท ESPN
Notre Dame at Miami ยท ABC
TCU at North Carolina ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Boise State, then Sam Houston.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.