Boise State Broncos
3–1 · 1–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
72%
MW title game
44%
Win the MW
17%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.1
How the week went: playoff odds 17% → 16% · title-game odds 72% → 68%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Boise State's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
Boise State at #21 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat Notre Dame and your playoff odds are 30%; lose and they drop to 16%.
Final · Boise State 7–28 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBSSN
Nevada at Fresno State
Mountain West race: Fresno State losing helps your spot in the standings; Nevada visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Nevada 17–20 Fresno StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+3.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
UNLV at Wyoming
Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play UNLV in week 8.
Final · UNLV 31–17 WyomingWent the other way ✗
Root for Wyoming+3.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#3 Miami at #18 Florida State
Florida State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Miami 28–22 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida State+1.7 pp playoff odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC
Texas at Florida · ESPN
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.