๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Boise State Broncos

3โ€“1 ยท 1โ€“0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

Boise State lost to Notre Dame. Playoff odds moved from 17% to 16%.

Your game

Boise State at Notre Dame
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Final
Boise State
Final ยท Boise State 7โ€“28 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Notre Dame

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Boise State wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Nevada
at
Fresno State
Final ยท Nevada 17โ€“20 Fresno StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.6-point title-game boost

Fresno State won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection75% if Nevada won71% with the other result3.6-point differenceBoise State MW title-game chance
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Impact 2
UNLV
at
Rooted for
Wyoming
Final ยท UNLV 31โ€“17 WyomingWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

UNLV won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection74% if Wyoming won71% with the other result3.5-point differenceBoise State MW title-game chance
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Impact 3
Miami
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท Miami 28โ€“22 Florida StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection18% if Florida State won16% with the other result1.7-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
46 other games had little impact
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
West Virginia at BYU ยท ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan ยท FOX
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Army at UAB ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
UTSA at Temple ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama ยท ABC
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Penn State at UCLA ยท CBS
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU ยท ACC Network
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston ยท ESPN
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State ยท NBC
Colorado at TCU ยท FOX
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis ยท ESPNU
Duke at California ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Boise State, then Nevada, Wyoming, Florida State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.