Boise State Broncos
2–1 · 1–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
55%
MW title game
30%
Win the MW
5%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
How the week went: playoff odds 5% → 21% · title-game odds 55% → 71%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Boise State's pathYour game
…
… · FS1
App State at Boise State
Your game. Beat App State and your playoff odds are 6%; lose and they drop to 1%.
Final · App State 14–47 Boise StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Memphis at Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Memphis 55–26 Florida AtlanticWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida Atlantic+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss
Southern Miss winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Jacksonville State 25–42 Southern MissWish granted ✓
Root for Southern Miss+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison
Georgia Southern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Georgia Southern 10–35 James MadisonWent the other way ✗
Root for Georgia Southern+1.5 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5).