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Boise State Broncos

21 · 10 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
56%
MW title game
31%
Win the MW
8%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.3
How the week went: playoff odds 8%17% · title-game odds 56%72%.
Playoff odds by week

If Boise State wins out: 62% to win the MW, 60% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Boise State's path
Your game
· FS1
App State at Boise State

Your game. Beat App State and your playoff odds are 9%; lose and they drop to 4%.

Final · App State 1447 Boise StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
Utah State at #18 Vanderbilt

Mountain West race: Utah State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Utah State in week 14.

Final · Utah State 3555 VanderbiltWish granted ✓
Root for Vanderbilt+2.0 pp title-game odds
49 more games that don't move your needle
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.