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Boise State Broncos

6–2 · 4–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
96%
MW title game
66%
Win the MW
34%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.8
How the week went: playoff odds 34% → <1% · title-game odds 96% → 81%.
Playoff odds by week
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If Boise State wins out: 72% to win the MW, 47% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Boise State's path
Your game
…
… · FS1
Fresno State at Boise State

Your game. Beat Fresno State and your playoff odds are 35%; lose and they drop to 16%.

Final · Fresno State 30–7 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
James Madison at Texas State

Texas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · James Madison 52–20 Texas StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Texas State+15.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#25 Memphis at Rice

Rice winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Memphis 38–14 RiceWent the other way ✗
Root for Rice+7.2 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ACC Network
Duke at Clemson

Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Duke 46–45 ClemsonWish granted ✓
Root for Duke+3.2 pp playoff odds
…
…
New Mexico at UNLV

Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat New Mexico — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play UNLV in week 15.

Final · New Mexico 40–35 UNLVWish granted ✓
Root for New Mexico+4.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Wyoming at San Diego State

You still play San Diego State in week 12.

Final · Wyoming 7–24 San Diego StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Wyoming+2.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
Marshall at Coastal Carolina

Marshall winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Marshall 27–44 Coastal CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for Marshall+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Florida State

Wake Forest winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Wake Forest 7–42 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Wake Forest+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
East Carolina at Temple

East Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · East Carolina 45–14 TempleWish granted ✓
Root for East Carolina+1.2 pp playoff odds
43 more games that don't move your needle
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Miami at SMU · ESPN
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
Georgia at Florida · ABC
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10).