Boise State Broncos
5–2 · 3–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
94%
MW title game
68%
Win the MW
29%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.9
How the week went: playoff odds 29% → 28% · title-game odds 94% → 95%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Boise State's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
Boise State at Nevada
Your game. Beat Nevada and your playoff odds are 30%; lose and they drop to 12%.
Final · Boise State 24–3 NevadaWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
UConn at Rice
UConn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · UConn 34–37 RiceWent the other way ✗
Root for UConn+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Syracuse at #7 Georgia Tech
Syracuse winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Syracuse 16–41 Georgia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Syracuse+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
…
Utah State at New Mexico
You already beat New Mexico; them losing again keeps them behind you; Utah State visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Utah State 14–33 New MexicoWent the other way ✗
Root for Utah State+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#18 South Florida at Memphis
South Florida losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · South Florida 31–34 MemphisWish granted ✓
Root for Memphis+1.3 pp playoff odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.