Boise State Broncos
5–2 · 3–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
94%
MW title game
68%
Win the MW
30%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.8
How the week went: playoff odds 30% → 34% · title-game odds 94% → 96%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Boise State's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
Boise State at Nevada
Your game. Beat Nevada and your playoff odds are 31%; lose and they drop to 13%.
Final · Boise State 24–3 NevadaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPNU
Oklahoma State at #14 Texas Tech
Oklahoma State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oklahoma State 0–42 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Oklahoma State+6.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#18 South Florida at Memphis
South Florida losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · South Florida 31–34 MemphisWish granted ✓
Root for Memphis+5.9 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Stanford at #9 Miami
Stanford winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Stanford 7–42 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Stanford+4.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Iowa State
Iowa State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · BYU 41–27 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa State+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
NC State at Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · NC State 34–53 PittsburghWish granted ✓
Root for Pittsburgh+1.3 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
Utah State at New Mexico
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9).