๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

San Diego State Aztecs

4โ€“1 ยท 1โ€“0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

San Diego State beat Nevada. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 2%.

Your game

San Diego State at Nevada
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Final
San Diego State
Final ยท San Diego State 44โ€“10 NevadaWish granted โœ“
Nevada

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result San Diego State wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Air Force
at
UNLV
Final ยท Air Force 48โ€“51 UNLVWent the other way โœ—
Projected 5.0-point title-game boost

UNLV won instead, so San Diego State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection18% if Air Force won13% with the other result5-point differenceSan Diego State MW title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
New Mexico
at
Boise State
Final ยท New Mexico 25โ€“41 Boise StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.3-point title-game boost

Boise State won instead, so San Diego State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection17% if New Mexico won13% with the other result3.3-point differenceSan Diego State MW title-game chance
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Impact 3
Fresno State
at
Rooted for
Colorado State
Final ยท Fresno State 21โ€“49 Colorado StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.4-point title-game boost

Fresno State lost, improving San Diego State's place in the Mountain West standings.

Entering-week projection15% if Colorado State won13% with the other result2.4-point differenceSan Diego State MW title-game chance
52 other games had little impact
Utah State at Hawai'i
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP ยท CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:San Diego State, then Air Force, New Mexico, Colorado State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.