San Diego State Aztecs
6–1 · 3–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
63%
MW title game
22%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1% · title-game odds 63% → 85%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves San Diego State's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
Wyoming at San Diego State
Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 71%; lose and they fall to 35%.
Final · Wyoming 7–24 San Diego StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
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New Mexico at UNLV
Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings; New Mexico visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · New Mexico 40–35 UNLVWish granted ✓
Root for New Mexico+9.6 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
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… · CBSSN
Hawai'i at San José State
Mountain West race: Hawai'i losing helps your spot in the standings; San José State visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Hawai'i 38–45 San José StateWish granted ✓
Root for San José State+3.2 pp title-game odds
49 more games that don't move your needle
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
Miami at SMU · ESPN
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
Georgia at Florida · ABC
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10).