San Diego State Aztecs
5–1 · 2–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
30%
MW title game
10%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1% · title-game odds 30% → 63%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves San Diego State's pathYour game
…
… · FS1
San Diego State at Fresno State
Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 41%; lose and they fall to 13%.
Final · San Diego State 23–0 Fresno StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · CBSSN
Boise State at Nevada
Mountain West race: Boise State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Nevada — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Boise State in week 12.
Final · Boise State 24–3 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+10.0 pp title-game odds
51 more games that don't move your needle
Utah State at New Mexico
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9).