Texas State Bobcats
3–2 · 0–1 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
37%
Sun Belt title game
17%
Win the Sun Belt
1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds 1% → <1% · title-game odds 37% → 2%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas State's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN+
Troy at Texas State
Your game. Beat Troy and your playoff odds are 2%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · Troy 48–41 Texas StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Louisiana at James Madison
Sun Belt race: Louisiana losing helps your spot in the standings; James Madison visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Final · Louisiana 14–24 James MadisonWish granted ✓
Root for James Madison+5.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern
Sun Belt race: Southern Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Southern Miss in week 12.
Final · Southern Miss 38–35 Georgia SouthernWent the other way ✗
Root for Georgia Southern+3.5 pp title-game odds
53 more games that don't move your needle
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
New Mexico at Boise State · FS1
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7).