Texas State Bobcats
0–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
Way too early
WEEK 14 · 2026
40%
Sun Belt title game
19%
Win the Sun Belt
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
Odds shown as of week 1 — precise rooting leverage exists only once the games in between are played.
If Texas State wins out: 71% to win the Sun Belt, 12% to make the playoff.
Championship week
matchups are decided by the standingsSun Belt Championship GameFri/Sat, Dec 4–5 · Campus site, higher seed hosts
James MadisonvsOld Dominion34%
James MadisonvsLouisiana Tech13%
James MadisonvsMarshall10%
James MadisonvsLouisiana8%
James MadisonvsTroy7%
Win it and you're in: the five highest-ranked conference champions get automatic playoff bids. Texas State plays in this game in 40% of the way-too-early sims.
The matchup gets scheduled once the regular season decides it — this page becomes the real game preview automatically. Week 14 kickoff windows and TV land with it.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.