Texas State Bobcats
3–1 · 0–0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
55%
Sun Belt title game
26%
Win the Sun Belt
3%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
How the week went: playoff odds 3% → 1% · title-game odds 55% → 37%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas State's pathYour game
…
… · ESPNU
Texas State at Arkansas State
Your game. Beat Arkansas State and your playoff odds are 3%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Final · Texas State 30–31 Arkansas StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
South Alabama at Troy
Sun Belt race: Troy losing helps your spot in the standings; South Alabama visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · South Alabama 24–31 TroyWent the other way ✗
Root for South Alabama+1.9 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC
Texas at Florida · ESPN
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6).