Texas State Bobcats
2–0 · 0–0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
45%
Sun Belt title game
27%
Win the Sun Belt
12%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.7
How the week went: playoff odds 12% → 4%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas State's pathYour game
…
… · TNT
Texas State at Arizona State
Your game. Beat Arizona State and your playoff odds are 21%; lose and they drop to 8%.
Final · Texas State 15–34 Arizona StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · SEC Network
South Alabama at #24 Auburn
Sun Belt race: South Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play South Alabama in week 14.
Final · South Alabama 15–31 AuburnWish granted ✓
Root for Auburn+2.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · Peacock
Ohio at #1 Ohio State
Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Ohio 9–37 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Root for Ohio State+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Jacksonville State 34–41 Georgia SouthernWish granted ✓
Root for Georgia Southern+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
Memphis at Troy
Troy visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Final · Memphis 28–7 TroyWent the other way ✗
Root for Troy+1.4 pp playoff odds
42 more games that don't move your needle
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern · FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Purdue · CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss · ESPN
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame · NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa · ESPN+
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3).