
#9Texas Tech Red Raiders
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas Tech's pathYour game. Beat Kansas and your playoff odds are 58%; lose and they drop to 31%.
Kansas State visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Utah — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Arizona State in week 8.
Big 12 race: Iowa State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings; UCF visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play BYU in week 11.
48 more games that don't move your needle
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.