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#14Texas Tech Red Raiders

6–1 · 3–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
62%
Big 12 title game
43%
Win the Big 12
44%
Make the playoff
4%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.3
How the week went: playoff odds 44% → 48%.
Playoff odds by week
123456789

If Texas Tech wins out: 70% to win the Big 12, 74% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path
Your game
…
… · ESPNU
Oklahoma State at #14 Texas Tech

Your game. Beat Oklahoma State and your playoff odds are 44%; lose and they drop to 18%.

Final · Oklahoma State 0–42 Texas TechWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Houston at #24 Arizona State

Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Houston — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Houston 24–16 Arizona StateWish granted ✓
Root for Houston+6.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
TCU at West Virginia

Big 12 race: TCU losing helps your spot in the standings; West Virginia visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · TCU 23–17 West VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Root for West Virginia+6.0 pp title-game odds
…
… · NBC
#25 Michigan at Michigan State

Michigan State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Michigan 31–20 Michigan StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Michigan State+2.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Colorado at Utah

You already beat Utah; them losing again keeps them behind you.

Final · Colorado 7–53 UtahWent the other way ✗
Root for Colorado+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Iowa State

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play BYU in week 11.

Final · BYU 41–27 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa State+2.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · TNT
Kansas State at Kansas

Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Kansas — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Kansas State in week 10.

Final · Kansas State 42–17 KansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas+2.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
Baylor at #21 Cincinnati

Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Baylor 20–41 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Root for Baylor+2.0 pp title-game odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.