#13Texas Tech Red Raiders
7–1 · 4–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
63%
Big 12 title game
42%
Win the Big 12
48%
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.8
How the week went: playoff odds 48% → 69% · title-game odds 63% → 84%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas Tech's pathYour game
…
… · FOX
#13 Texas Tech at Kansas State
Your game. Beat Kansas State and your playoff odds are 62%; lose and they drop to 32%.
Final · Texas Tech 43–20 Kansas StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
#17 Cincinnati at #24 Utah
Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Utah — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Cincinnati 14–45 UtahWish granted ✓
Root for Utah+5.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPNU
UCF at Baylor
UCF visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · UCF 3–30 BaylorWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF+2.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#8 Georgia Tech at NC State
NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Georgia Tech 36–48 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · TNT
Arizona State at Iowa State
Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings; Arizona State losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Arizona State 24–19 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa State+2.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Western Michigan
Central Michigan winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Central Michigan 21–24 Western MichiganWent the other way ✗
Root for Central Michigan+1.5 pp playoff odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
Miami at SMU · ESPN
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida · ABC
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.