#5Texas Tech Red Raiders
10–1 · 7–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
98%
Big 12 title game
74%
Win the Big 12
93%
Make the playoff
58%
First-round bye
avg seed 4.3
How the week went: playoff odds 93% → 91%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas Tech's pathWorth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
#25 Arizona State at Colorado
Big 12 race: Arizona State losing helps your spot in the standings; Arizona State losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Arizona State 42–17 ColoradoWent the other way ✗
Root for Colorado+2.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Cincinnati
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and BYU winning protects it; you beat BYU — their wins make your résumé stronger; BYU visits your schedule in week 15 — keep them ranked.
Final · BYU 26–14 CincinnatiWish granted ✓
Root for BYU+2.8 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ESPN
#13 Miami at Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Miami 34–17 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
Rutgers at #1 Ohio State
Seeding watch: Rutgers winning moves you from around the 4th seed toward the 4th — a friendlier bracket.
Final · Rutgers 9–42 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers≈0.3 seed lines
56 more games that don't move your needle
USC at Oregon · CBS
Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.