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#8Texas Tech Red Raiders

8–1 · 5–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
84%
Big 12 title game
58%
Win the Big 12
69%
Make the playoff
17%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.6
How the week went: playoff odds 69% → 81% · title-game odds 84% → 96%.
Playoff odds by week
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If Texas Tech wins out: 70% to win the Big 12, 82% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#7 BYU at #8 Texas Tech

Your game. Beat BYU and your playoff odds are 77%; lose and they drop to 36%.

Final · BYU 7–29 Texas TechWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
Navy at #10 Notre Dame

Navy winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Navy 10–49 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for Navy+4.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#5 Georgia at Mississippi State

Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Georgia 41–21 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #22 Missouri

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Missouri winning protects it.

Final · Texas A&M 38–17 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+4.2 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · FOX
Iowa State at TCU

Iowa State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Iowa State 20–17 TCUWish granted ✓
Root for Iowa State+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · TNT
Colorado at West Virginia

West Virginia visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Colorado 22–29 West VirginiaWish granted ✓
Root for West Virginia+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
LSU at #4 Alabama

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and LSU winning protects it.

Final · LSU 9–20 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+3.1 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and East Carolina winning protects it.

Final · Charlotte 22–48 East CarolinaWish granted ✓
Root for East Carolina+2.9 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · FOX
#2 Indiana at Penn State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Penn State winning protects it.

Final · Indiana 27–24 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+2.9 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · CBS
#9 Oregon at #20 Iowa

Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Oregon 18–16 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+1.3 pp playoff odds
41 more games that don't move your needle
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Houston at UCF · FS1
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.