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#7Texas Tech Red Raiders

6–0 · 3–0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
81%
Big 12 title game
52%
Win the Big 12
75%
Make the playoff
13%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.8
How the week went: playoff odds 75% → 42% · title-game odds 81% → 61%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678

If Texas Tech wins out: 69% to win the Big 12, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path
Your game
…
… · FOX
#7 Texas Tech at Arizona State

Your game. Beat Arizona State and your playoff odds are 83%; lose and they drop to 56%.

Final · Texas Tech 22–26 Arizona StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · NBC
#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame

USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for USC+6.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Louisville at #2 Miami

Miami winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Louisville 24–21 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Miami+6.5 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#10 LSU at #17 Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · LSU 24–31 VanderbiltWish granted ✓
Root for Vanderbilt+4.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · Peacock
Michigan State at #3 Indiana

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Michigan State winning protects it.

Final · Michigan State 13–38 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Michigan State+5.1 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ESPN
#21 Texas at Kentucky

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Texas 16–13 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#24 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State

Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings; Oklahoma State visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Final · Cincinnati 49–17 Oklahoma StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Oklahoma State+2.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#11 Tennessee at #6 Alabama

Alabama winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Tennessee 20–37 AlabamaWish granted ✓
Root for Alabama+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · BTN
#8 Oregon at Rutgers

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Rutgers winning protects it.

Final · Oregon 56–10 RutgersWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+2.7 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · FS1
Nevada at New Mexico

Nevada winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Nevada 22–24 New MexicoWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+1.4 pp playoff odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8).