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#7Texas Tech Red Raiders

6–0 · 3–0 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
81%
Big 12 title game
54%
Win the Big 12
70%
Make the playoff
27%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.8
How the week went: playoff odds 70% → 44% · title-game odds 81% → 62%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678

If Texas Tech wins out: 69% to win the Big 12, 95% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas Tech's path
Your game
…
… · FOX
#7 Texas Tech at Arizona State

Your game. Beat Arizona State and your playoff odds are 79%; lose and they drop to 53%.

Final · Texas Tech 22–26 Arizona StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
Kent State at Toledo

You beat Kent State — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Kent State 10–45 ToledoWent the other way ✗
Root for Kent State+3.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#23 Utah at #15 BYU

You already beat Utah; them losing again keeps them behind you; BYU visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Final · Utah 21–24 BYUWish granted ✓
Root for BYU+2.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · BTN
#8 Oregon at Rutgers

Rutgers winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Oregon 56–10 RutgersWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#24 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State

Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings; Oklahoma State visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Final · Cincinnati 49–17 Oklahoma StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Oklahoma State+2.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBS
#1 Ohio State at Wisconsin

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Wisconsin winning protects it.

Final · Ohio State 34–0 WisconsinWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+2.9 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ESPN
Louisville at #2 Miami

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Louisville winning protects it.

Final · Louisville 24–21 MiamiWish granted ✓
Root for Louisville+2.6 pp first-round-bye odds
51 more games that don't move your needle
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
USC at Notre Dame · NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.