#23Utah Utes
5–1 · 2–1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
33%
Big 12 title game
16%
Win the Big 12
18%
Make the playoff
1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.9
How the week went: playoff odds 18% → 10% · title-game odds 33% → 14%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Utah's pathYour game
…
… · FOX
#23 Utah at #15 BYU
Your game. Beat BYU and your playoff odds are 28%; lose and they drop to 8%.
Final · Utah 21–24 BYUWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
#7 Texas Tech at Arizona State
You beat Arizona State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Texas Tech 22–26 Arizona StateWish granted ✓
Root for Arizona State+2.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Tulsa at East Carolina
East Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Tulsa 27–41 East CarolinaWish granted ✓
Root for East Carolina+2.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#24 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State
Big 12 race: Cincinnati losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Cincinnati in week 10.
Final · Cincinnati 49–17 Oklahoma StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Oklahoma State+3.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPNU
Florida International at Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Florida International 25–6 Western KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Western Kentucky+1.2 pp playoff odds
54 more games that don't move your needle
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
USC at Notre Dame · NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.