#12Utah Utes
8–2 · 5–2 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
13%
Big 12 title game
6%
Win the Big 12
22%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.6
How the week went: playoff odds 22% → 1% · title-game odds 13% → 2%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Utah's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
Kansas State at #12 Utah
Your game. Beat Kansas State and your playoff odds are 25%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · Kansas State 47–51 UtahWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Cincinnati
Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Cincinnati — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · BYU 26–14 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Root for Cincinnati+35.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#22 Missouri at #8 Oklahoma
Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Missouri 6–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+12.8 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · UConn 48–45 Florida AtlanticWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida Atlantic+1.4 pp playoff odds
56 more games that don't move your needle
TCU at Houston · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13).