#13Utah Utes

7–2 · 4–2 BIG 12

In the books

WEEK 12 · 2025

The Week 12 recap

Utah beat Baylor. Playoff odds moved from 46% to 43%.

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ESPN2

Final

Utah

Final · Utah 55–28 BaylorWish granted ✓

Baylor

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ESPN

Impact 1

Rooted for

TCU

at

BYU

Final · TCU 13–44 BYUWent the other way ✗

Projected 15.1-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection33% if TCU won18% with the other result15-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance

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FOX

Impact 2

Rooted for

UCF

at

Texas Tech

Final · UCF 9–48 Texas TechWent the other way ✗

Projected 12.7-point title-game boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if UCF won23% with the other result13-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance

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ABC

Impact 3

Notre Dame

at

Rooted for

Pittsburgh

Final · Notre Dame 37–15 PittsburghWent the other way ✗

Projected 6.2-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection52% if Pittsburgh won46% with the other result6.2-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 4

Rooted for

Florida

at

Ole Miss

Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWent the other way ✗

Projected 5.4-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection51% if Florida won46% with the other result5.4-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ESPNU

Impact 5

Rooted for

Kansas State

at

Oklahoma State

Final · Kansas State 14–6 Oklahoma StateWish granted ✓

Projected 2.9-point playoff boost

Kansas State won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 13 game against Utah.

Entering-week projection46% if Kansas State won43% with the other result2.9-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 6

Rooted for

South Carolina

at

Texas A&M

Final · South Carolina 30–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if South Carolina won46% with the other result2.8-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ESPN+

Impact 7

UTEP

at

Rooted for

Missouri State

Final · UTEP 24–38 Missouri StateWish granted ✓

Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Missouri State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Utah's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection47% if Missouri State won45% with the other result1.8-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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FS1

Impact 8

Rooted for

Arizona

at

Cincinnati

Final · Arizona 30–24 CincinnatiWish granted ✓

Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Cincinnati lost again, helping keep them behind Utah.

Entering-week projection47% if Arizona won46% with the other result1.3-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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truTV

Impact 9

West Virginia

at

Rooted for

Arizona State

Final · West Virginia 23–25 Arizona StateWish granted ✓

Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

West Virginia lost, improving Utah's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection24% if Arizona State won22% with the other result1.9-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance

48 other games had little impact

Kent State at Akron · ESPNU

Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2

Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN

Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU

Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2

Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN

Clemson at Louisville · ESPN

Minnesota at Oregon · FOX

Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN

Michigan at Northwestern · FOX

Air Force at UConn · CBSSN

UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+

South Florida at Navy · ESPN2

Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+

Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network

Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network

Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+

North Texas at UAB · ESPN+

Colorado State at New Mexico

Oklahoma at Alabama · ABC

Penn State at Michigan State · CBS

Maryland at Illinois · FS1

Iowa at USC · BTN

Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network

Virginia at Duke · ESPN2

NC State at Miami · ESPN

Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+

San José State at Nevada · CBSSN

App State at James Madison · ESPN+

South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+

Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU

Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+

New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network

North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network

Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+

Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+

Purdue at Washington · FS1

Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+

Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN

Texas at Georgia · ABC

UCLA at Ohio State · NBC

Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network

Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network

Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU

Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network

Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN

Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.