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#5Ole Miss Rebels

6–0 · 3–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
40%
SEC title game
21%
Win the SEC
80%
Make the playoff
33%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.5
How the week went: playoff odds 80% → 74% · title-game odds 40% → 14%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678

If Ole Miss wins out: 57% to win the SEC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#5 Ole Miss at #9 Georgia

Your game. Beat Georgia and your playoff odds are 92%; lose and they drop to 75%.

Final · Ole Miss 35–43 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#11 Tennessee at #6 Alabama

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Tennessee 20–37 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Tennessee+6.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
#21 Texas at Kentucky

SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Kentucky — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Texas 16–13 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+5.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Arkansas — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+3.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · NBC
#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame

USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for USC+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Louisville at #2 Miami

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Louisville winning protects it.

Final · Louisville 24–21 MiamiWish granted ✓
Root for Louisville+3.0 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · SEC Network
#16 Missouri at Auburn

SEC race: Missouri losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Missouri 23–17 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+2.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)

Miami (OH) winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Eastern Michigan 30–44 Miami (OH)Wish granted ✓
Root for Miami (OH)+1.4 pp playoff odds
51 more games that don't move your needle
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.