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#6Ole Miss Rebels

8–1 · 5–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
15%
SEC title game
7%
Win the SEC
76%
Make the playoff
14%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.8
How the week went: playoff odds 76% → 74% · title-game odds 15% → 11%.
Playoff odds by week
1234567891011

If Ole Miss wins out: 9% to win the SEC, 87% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path
Your game
TBD
The Citadel at #6 Ole Miss

Your game. Just win — and don't let it get interesting.

Final · The Citadel 0–49 Ole MissWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
#5 Georgia at Mississippi State

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings; Georgia losing softens the sting of your loss to them; Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Georgia 41–21 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+39.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
LSU at #4 Alabama

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat LSU — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · LSU 9–20 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+19.7 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #22 Missouri

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Missouri winning protects it.

Final · Texas A&M 38–17 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+3.7 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · SEC Network
Florida at Kentucky

You already beat Kentucky; them losing again keeps them behind you; Florida visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Florida 7–38 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#2 Indiana at Penn State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Penn State winning protects it.

Final · Indiana 27–24 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+2.5 pp first-round-bye odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.