#7Ole Miss Rebels
9–1 · 5–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
12%
SEC title game
6%
Win the SEC
99%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.0
How the week went: playoff odds 99% → >99% · title-game odds 12% → 10%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ole Miss's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #7 Ole Miss
Your game. Beat Florida and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 88%. A win all but locks up your spot.
Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#10 Texas at #5 Georgia
SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings; Georgia losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Texas 10–35 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Texas+32.1 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#11 Oklahoma at #4 Alabama
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Oklahoma winning protects it; you beat Oklahoma — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Oklahoma 23–21 AlabamaWish granted ✓
Root for Oklahoma+7.6 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · FOX
UCF at #6 Texas Tech
Seeding watch: UCF winning moves you from around the 7th seed toward the 7th — a friendlier bracket.
Final · UCF 9–48 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF≈0.4 seed lines
54 more games that don't move your needle
South Carolina at Texas A&M · ESPN
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Minnesota at Oregon · FOX
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · ABC
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Utah at Baylor · ESPN2
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).