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#13Ole Miss Rebels

30 · 20 SEC
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
36%
SEC title game
15%
Win the SEC
46%
Make the playoff
11%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.8
How the week went: playoff odds 46%52% · title-game odds 36%40%.
Playoff odds by week

If Ole Miss wins out: 47% to win the SEC, 95% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path
Your game
· ESPN
Tulane at #13 Ole Miss

Your game. Beat Tulane and your playoff odds are 49%; lose and they drop to 30%.

Final · Tulane 1045 Ole MissWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
Kent State at #7 Florida State

Kent State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Kent State 1066 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Kent State+2.9 pp playoff odds
· ESPN
South Carolina at #23 Missouri

SEC race: Missouri losing helps your spot in the standings; South Carolina visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Final · South Carolina 2029 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+2.7 pp title-game odds
· NBC
#9 Illinois at #19 Indiana

Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Illinois 1063 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Illinois+1.6 pp playoff odds
· ABC
Florida at #4 Miami

Florida visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Florida 726 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+1.4 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.