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#7Ole Miss Rebels

7–1 · 4–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
13%
SEC title game
6%
Win the SEC
79%
Make the playoff
18%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.5
How the week went: playoff odds 79% → 76% · title-game odds 13% → 15%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678910

If Ole Miss wins out: 9% to win the SEC, 92% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #7 Ole Miss

Your game. Beat South Carolina and your playoff odds are 83%; lose and they drop to 45%.

Final · South Carolina 14–30 Ole MissWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#5 Georgia at Florida

SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings; Georgia losing softens the sting of your loss to them; Florida visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+26.8 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#9 Vanderbilt at #20 Texas

SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWent the other way ✗
Root for Vanderbilt+3.9 pp title-game odds
…
… · SEC Network
Kentucky at Auburn

SEC race: Auburn losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Kentucky — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Kentucky 10–3 AuburnWish granted ✓
Root for Kentucky+3.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBS
#2 Indiana at Maryland

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Maryland winning protects it.

Final · Indiana 55–10 MarylandWent the other way ✗
Root for Maryland+3.9 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · SEC Network
Mississippi State at Arkansas

You already beat Arkansas; them losing again keeps them behind you; Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Mississippi State 38–35 ArkansasWish granted ✓
Root for Mississippi State+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
Penn State at #1 Ohio State

Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Penn State 14–38 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Root for Ohio State+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
UTEP at Kennesaw State

Kennesaw State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · UTEP 20–33 Kennesaw StateWish granted ✓
Root for Kennesaw State+1.2 pp playoff odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
Miami at SMU · ESPN
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.