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#8Ole Miss Rebels

6–1 · 3–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
14%
SEC title game
7%
Win the SEC
74%
Make the playoff
21%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.2
How the week went: playoff odds 74% → 79% · title-game odds 14% → 13%.
Playoff odds by week
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If Ole Miss wins out: 14% to win the SEC, 96% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#8 Ole Miss at #13 Oklahoma

Your game. Beat Oklahoma and your playoff odds are 87%; lose and they drop to 53%.

Final · Ole Miss 34–26 OklahomaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#4 Alabama at South Carolina

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings; South Carolina visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Final · Alabama 29–22 South CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+13.6 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · SEC Network
#22 Texas at Mississippi State

SEC race: Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Texas 45–38 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+6.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #20 LSU

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat LSU — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Texas A&M 49–25 LSUWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+5.0 pp title-game odds
…
… · FS1
Wisconsin at #6 Oregon

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Wisconsin winning protects it.

Final · Wisconsin 7–21 OregonWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+4.6 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · FOX
UCLA at #2 Indiana

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and UCLA winning protects it.

Final · UCLA 6–56 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for UCLA+3.5 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · SEC Network
#17 Tennessee at Kentucky

You beat Kentucky — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Tennessee 56–34 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+1.7 pp playoff odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.