#13Ole Miss Rebels
4–0 · 2–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
40%
SEC title game
20%
Win the SEC
52%
Make the playoff
14%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.5
How the week went: playoff odds 52% → 82% · title-game odds 40% → 41%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ole Miss's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#4 LSU at #13 Ole Miss
Your game. Beat LSU and your playoff odds are 56%; lose and they drop to 27%.
Final · LSU 19–24 Ole MissWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · SEC Network
#15 Tennessee at Mississippi State
Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Tennessee 41–34 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+3.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#17 Alabama at #5 Georgia
Georgia visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Alabama 24–21 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Georgia+2.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · Peacock
#11 Indiana at Iowa
Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Indiana 20–15 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+2.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#8 Florida State at Virginia
Virginia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Florida State 38–46 VirginiaWish granted ✓
Root for Virginia+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#21 USC at #23 Illinois
Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · USC 32–34 IllinoisWish granted ✓
Root for Illinois+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Kentucky at South Carolina
You already beat Kentucky; them losing again keeps them behind you; South Carolina visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Final · Kentucky 13–35 South CarolinaWish granted ✓
Root for South Carolina+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
Louisville at Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Louisville 34–27 PittsburghWent the other way ✗
Root for Pittsburgh+1.5 pp playoff odds
43 more games that don't move your needle
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.