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#11Tennessee Volunteers

5–1 · 2–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
6%
SEC title game
2%
Win the SEC
28%
Make the playoff
3%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.9
How the week went: playoff odds 28% → 16% · title-game odds 6% → <1%.
Playoff odds by week
12345678

If Tennessee wins out: 24% to win the SEC, 88% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Tennessee's path
Your game
…
… · ABC
#11 Tennessee at #6 Alabama

Your game. Beat Alabama and your playoff odds are 48%; lose and they drop to 22%.

Final · Tennessee 20–37 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame

USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for USC+3.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#21 Texas at Kentucky

Kentucky visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Final · Texas 16–13 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+3.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Mississippi State at Florida

You already beat Mississippi State; them losing again keeps them behind you; Florida visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · Mississippi State 21–23 FloridaWish granted ✓
Root for Florida+2.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#10 LSU at #17 Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · LSU 24–31 VanderbiltWish granted ✓
Root for Vanderbilt+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas

You beat Arkansas — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
#14 Oklahoma at South Carolina

Oklahoma visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Final · Oklahoma 26–7 South CarolinaWish granted ✓
Root for Oklahoma+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Louisville at #2 Miami

Miami winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Louisville 24–21 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Miami+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
#16 Missouri at Auburn

Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Missouri 23–17 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+1.3 pp playoff odds
50 more games that don't move your needle
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.