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#14Tennessee Volunteers

62 · 32 SEC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
<1%
SEC title game
<1%
Win the SEC
29%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.1
How the week went: playoff odds 29%<1%.
Playoff odds by week

If Tennessee wins out: <1% to win the SEC, 70% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Tennessee's path
Your game
· ABC
#18 Oklahoma at #14 Tennessee

Your game. Beat Oklahoma and your playoff odds are 38%; lose and they drop to 10%.

Final · Oklahoma 3327 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· ESPN
South Carolina at #7 Ole Miss

South Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · South Carolina 1430 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+2.8 pp playoff odds
· ABC
#5 Georgia at Florida

Georgia losing softens the sting of your loss to them; Florida visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · Georgia 2420 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+2.6 pp playoff odds
· ESPN2
#8 Georgia Tech at NC State

NC State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Georgia Tech 3648 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+2.0 pp playoff odds
#16 Louisville at Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Louisville 2816 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+1.2 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
USC at Nebraska · NBC
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
Miami at SMU · ESPN
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
New Mexico at UNLV
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.