#19Tennessee Volunteers
8–3 · 4–3 SEC
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
0%
SEC title game
0%
Win the SEC
7%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.2
The SEC title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 7% → <1%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Tennessee's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
#14 Vanderbilt at #19 Tennessee
Your game. Beat Vanderbilt and your playoff odds are 10%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · Vanderbilt 45–24 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#10 Alabama at Auburn
Alabama losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Alabama 27–20 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+2.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
LSU at #8 Oklahoma
Oklahoma losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · LSU 13–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#7 Ole Miss at Mississippi State
You beat Mississippi State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Ole Miss 38–19 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#13 Utah at Kansas
Kansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Utah 31–21 KansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBS
#6 Oregon at Washington
Washington winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oregon 26–14 WashingtonWent the other way ✗
Root for Washington+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#1 Ohio State at #15 Michigan
Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Ohio State 27–9 MichiganWish granted ✓
Root for Ohio State+1.3 pp playoff odds
60 more games that don't move your needle
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Texas A&M at Texas · ABC
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia · ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UCF at BYU · ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU
SMU at California · ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.