#15Tennessee Volunteers
3–1 · 0–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
5%
SEC title game
2%
Win the SEC
19%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.0
How the week went: playoff odds 19% → 14%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Tennessee's pathYour game
…
… · SEC Network
#15 Tennessee at Mississippi State
Your game. Beat Mississippi State and your playoff odds are 21%; lose and they drop to 8%.
Final · Tennessee 41–34 Mississippi StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#22 Notre Dame at Arkansas
Arkansas visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Final · Notre Dame 56–13 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+3.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Kentucky at South Carolina
Kentucky visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Kentucky 13–35 South CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · NBC
#6 Oregon at #3 Penn State
Penn State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oregon 30–24 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · Peacock
#11 Indiana at Iowa
Iowa winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Indiana 20–15 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+1.2 pp playoff odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.