#19Louisville Cardinals
5–1 · 2–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
28%
ACC title game
17%
Win the ACC
17%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.7
How the week went: playoff odds 17% → 16%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Louisville's pathYour game
…
… · ACC Network
Boston College at #19 Louisville
Your game. Beat Boston College and your playoff odds are 17%; lose and they drop to 4%.
Final · Boston College 24–38 LouisvilleWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
Syracuse at #7 Georgia Tech
ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Syracuse 16–41 Georgia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Syracuse+8.7 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · The CW Network
SMU at Wake Forest
You still play SMU in week 13.
Final · SMU 12–13 Wake ForestWish granted ✓
Root for Wake Forest+4.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
#16 Virginia at North Carolina
ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings; Virginia losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Virginia 17–16 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for North Carolina+6.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Stanford at #9 Miami
You already beat Miami; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Stanford 7–42 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Stanford+2.8 pp playoff odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9).