Bowling Green Falcons
3–3 · 1–1 MID-AMERICAN
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
39%
MAC title game
17%
Win the MAC
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → 0% · title-game odds 39% → 5%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Bowling Green's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
Central Michigan at Bowling Green
Your game. Win and your Mid-American title-game odds are 42%; lose and they fall to 10%.
Final · Central Michigan 27–6 Bowling GreenWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)
Mid-American race: Miami (OH) losing helps your spot in the standings; Eastern Michigan visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Final · Eastern Michigan 30–44 Miami (OH)Went the other way ✗
Root for Eastern Michigan+10.1 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio
Mid-American race: Ohio losing helps your spot in the standings; Ohio losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Northern Illinois 21–48 OhioWent the other way ✗
Root for Northern Illinois+5.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts
Mid-American race: Buffalo losing helps your spot in the standings; Massachusetts visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Buffalo 28–21 MassachusettsWent the other way ✗
Root for Massachusetts+4.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State
Mid-American race: Ball State losing helps your spot in the standings; Akron visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Akron 28–42 Ball StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Akron+1.9 pp title-game odds
54 more games that don't move your needle
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
USC at Notre Dame · NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.