UNLV Rebels
6–0 · 2–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
74%
MW title game
37%
Win the MW
9%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.5
How the week went: playoff odds 9% → 2% · title-game odds 74% → 54%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves UNLV's pathYour game
…
… · FS1
UNLV at Boise State
Your game. Beat Boise State and your playoff odds are 17%; lose and they drop to 5%.
Final · UNLV 31–56 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
#22 Memphis at UAB
UAB winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Memphis 24–31 UABWish granted ✓
Root for UAB+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
San José State at Utah State
Mountain West race: San José State losing helps your spot in the standings; Utah State visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · San José State 25–30 Utah StateWish granted ✓
Root for Utah State+2.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · The CW Network
Washington State at #18 Virginia
Washington State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Washington State 20–22 VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Washington State+1.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at #19 South Florida
Florida Atlantic winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Florida Atlantic 13–48 South FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida Atlantic+1.2 pp playoff odds
54 more games that don't move your needle
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
USC at Notre Dame · NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.