UNLV Rebels
4–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
68%
MW title game
42%
Win the MW
13%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.3
How the week went: playoff odds 13% → 11% · title-game odds 68% → 66%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves UNLV's pathWorth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FS1
App State at Boise State
Boise State visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · App State 14–47 Boise StateWish granted ✓
Root for Boise State+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Akron at Toledo
Toledo winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Akron 3–45 ToledoWish granted ✓
Root for Toledo+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss
Southern Miss winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Jacksonville State 25–42 Southern MissWish granted ✓
Root for Southern Miss+1.2 pp playoff odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.