UNLV Rebels
0–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2025
68%
MW title game
44%
Win the MW
16%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.0
How the week went: playoff odds 16% → 16%.
If UNLV wins out: 70% to win the MW, 65% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves UNLV's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
UNLV at Sam Houston
Your game. Beat Sam Houston and your playoff odds are 18%; lose and they drop to 9%.
Final · UNLV 38–21 Sam HoustonWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UCF
UCF winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Jacksonville State 10–17 UCFWish granted ✓
Root for UCF+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
Fresno State at Kansas
Mountain West race: Fresno State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Fresno State 7–31 KansasWish granted ✓
Root for Kansas+2.0 pp title-game odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Ohio at Rutgers · BTN
Boise State at South Florida · ESPN
TCU at North Carolina · ESPN
Iowa State at Kansas State · ESPN
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky · CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i · CBS
East Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Wyoming at Akron · ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota · FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati · ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin · BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State · FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest · ACC Network
App State at Charlotte · ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor · FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado · ESPN
Central Michigan at San José State · FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss · ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee · ABC
Texas at Ohio State · FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland · BTN
Ball State at Purdue · BTN
Northwestern at Tulane · ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky · SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana · FS1
Alabama at Florida State · ABC
Marshall at Georgia · ESPN
Nevada at Penn State · CBS
Temple at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia · ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M · ESPN
LSU at Clemson · ABC
Missouri State at USC · BTN
New Mexico at Michigan · NBC
UTEP at Utah State · CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State · FS1
California at Oregon State · ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona · TNT
Utah at UCLA · FOX
Colorado State at Washington · BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina · ESPN
Notre Dame at Miami · ABC
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.