#20USC Trojans
5–1 · 3–1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
6%
Big Ten title game
2%
Win the Big Ten
13%
Make the playoff
1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.2
How the week went: playoff odds 13% → 7% · title-game odds 6% → 4%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves USC's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat Notre Dame and your playoff odds are 33%; lose and they drop to 11%.
Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · Peacock
Michigan State at #3 Indiana
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Michigan State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Michigan State 13–38 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Michigan State+13.7 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBS
#1 Ohio State at Wisconsin
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Ohio State 34–0 WisconsinWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+5.1 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
#21 Texas at Kentucky
Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Texas 16–13 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+1.3 pp playoff odds
55 more games that don't move your needle
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Washington at Michigan · FOX
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.