USC Trojans
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2025
26%
Big Ten title game
8%
Win the Big Ten
27%
Make the playoff
4%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.8
How the week went: playoff odds 27% → 25%.
If USC wins out: 33% to win the Big Ten, 97% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves USC's pathYour game
…
… · BTN
Missouri State at USC
Your game. Beat Missouri State and your playoff odds are 27%; lose and they drop to 15%.
Final · Missouri State 13–73 USCWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#6 Notre Dame at #10 Miami
Notre Dame visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Notre Dame 24–27 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Root for Notre Dame+1.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#8 Alabama at Florida State
Florida State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Alabama 17–31 Florida StateWish granted ✓
Root for Florida State+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
Northwestern at Tulane
Northwestern visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Final · Northwestern 3–23 TulaneWent the other way ✗
Root for Northwestern+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
Utah at UCLA
UCLA visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Utah 43–10 UCLAWent the other way ✗
Root for UCLA+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#1 Texas at #3 Ohio State
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Texas 7–14 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Texas+1.9 pp title-game odds
42 more games that don't move your needle
Iowa State at Kansas State · ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas · FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky · CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i · CBS
Boise State at South Florida · ESPN
Ohio at Rutgers · BTN
East Carolina at NC State · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at UCF · ESPN+
Wyoming at Akron · ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota · FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati · ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin · BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State · FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest · ACC Network
App State at Charlotte · ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor · FOX
Georgia Tech at Colorado · ESPN
UNLV at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Central Michigan at San José State · FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss · ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee · ABC
Florida Atlantic at Maryland · BTN
Ball State at Purdue · BTN
Toledo at Kentucky · SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana · FS1
Marshall at Georgia · ESPN
Nevada at Penn State · CBS
Temple at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia · ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M · ESPN
LSU at Clemson · ABC
New Mexico at Michigan · NBC
UTEP at Utah State · CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State · FS1
California at Oregon State · ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona · TNT
Colorado State at Washington · BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina · ESPN
TCU at North Carolina · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.