The Conference USA race
10 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2026
10 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 3; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liberty | 0–0 | 1–1 | 7.1–0.9 | 91% | 75% | 20% |
 Jacksonville State | 0–0 | 1–2 | 5.2–2.8 | 35% | 9% | <1% |
 Delaware | 0–0 | 1–1 | 4.5–3.5 | 24% | 6% | <1% |
 Florida International | 0–0 | 1–1 | 4.6–3.4 | 20% | 5% | <1% |
 Kennesaw State | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.7–4.3 | 11% | 2% | <1% |
 Middle Tennessee | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.3–4.7 | 5% | <1% | 0% |
 New Mexico State | 0–0 | 1–2 | 3.0–5.0 | 4% | <1% | <1% |
 Missouri State | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.1–4.9 | 4% | <1% | <1% |
 Western Kentucky | 0–0 | 0–2 | 3.2–4.8 | 4% | <1% | 0% |
 Sam Houston | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.