The Pac-12 race
8 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2026
8 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 3; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boise State | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.0–2.0 | 60% | 36% | 5% |
 Fresno State | 0–0 | 1–1 | 4.6–2.4 | 50% | 28% | 4% |
 Washington State | 0–0 | 0–2 | 4.2–2.8 | 36% | 17% | 1% |
 San Diego State | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.8–3.2 | 24% | 9% | <1% |
 Texas State | 0–0 | 0–2 | 3.5–3.5 | 17% | 6% | <1% |
 Utah State | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.7–4.3 | 7% | 2% | <1% |
 Colorado State | 0–0 | 2–0 | 2.2–4.8 | 3% | <1% | <1% |
 Oregon State | 0–0 | 0–2 | 2.1–4.9 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.