🏈 Fan Watch

Boise State Broncos

1–1 · 0–0 PAC-12
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2026
Week 3 pregame guide

Boise State needs four quarters of dependable coverage

South Dakota visits as a heavy underdog, while Boise State looks for steadier coverage and a helpful San Diego State upset.

Read the rooting guide →
Boise State runs the ball against Air Force in 2025.
Boise State faces Air Force in 2025.
CreditPhoto creditTrevor CokleyWikimedia Commons · Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

South Dakota at Boise State
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CBSSN
Final
South Dakota
Final · South Dakota 24–38 Boise StateWish granted ✓
Boise State

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Boise State wanted
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FOX
Impact 1
Kent State
at
Rooted for
Ohio State
Final · Kent State 3–59 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Projected 3.2-point playoff boost

Ohio State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Boise State's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection5% if Ohio State won2% with the other result3.2-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
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The CW Network
Impact 2
James Madison
at
Rooted for
San Diego State
Final · James Madison 26–13 San Diego StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection6% if San Diego State won5% with the other result1.3-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
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FS1
Impact 3
Fresno State
at
Rooted for
San José State
Final · Fresno State 26–10 San José StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Fresno State won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection62% if San José State won60% with the other result2-point differenceBoise State Pac-12 title-game chance
54 other games had little impact
North Texas at Texas State · USA Network
Syracuse at Pittsburgh · ESPN
Miami at Wake Forest · ESPN
Houston at Texas Tech · FOX
Coastal Carolina at Delaware · CBSSN
Georgia at Arkansas · ABC
Tulane at Kansas State · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Iowa State · ESPNU
Arizona State at Kansas · FS1
North Carolina at Clemson · ESPN
Akron at Minnesota · BTN
Buffalo at Penn State · BTN
Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin · Peacock
NC State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Wyoming at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Temple at Toledo · CBSSN
Florida State at Alabama · ABC
Kentucky at Texas A&M · ESPN
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati · ESPN+
Utah State at Utah · FOX
SMU at Louisville · ESPN2
UTEP at Michigan · BTN
USC at Rutgers · CBS
Stanford at Duke · The CW Network
Western Kentucky at Indiana · Peacock
Ball State at Liberty · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Baylor · ESPNU
Mississippi State at South Carolina · SEC Network
East Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Florida International at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Charlotte at App State · ESPN+
Marshall at Missouri State · CBSSN
Florida at Auburn · ESPN
Troy at Missouri · SECN+
Georgia State at UCF · ESPN+
UConn at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Rice · ESPN+
Nevada at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Ohio at South Alabama · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
New Mexico at Oklahoma · ESPN2
BYU at Colorado State · CBS
Colorado at Northwestern · FOX
West Virginia at Virginia · ACC Network
Virginia Tech at Maryland · FS1
Michigan State at Notre Dame · NBC
Kennesaw State at Tennessee · SEC Network
UTSA at Texas · SECN+
Arkansas State at TCU · ESPNU
UAB at Louisiana · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Arizona · TNT
North Dakota State at Sacramento State · ESPN
Purdue at UCLA · BTN
The rooting list was:Boise State, then Ohio State, San Diego State, San José State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.