🏈 Fan Watch

#22Boise State Broncos

3–1 · 0–0 PAC-12
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2026
Week 5 pregame guide

Boise State's cleanest defensive game meets Grady Brosterhous at his best

The Broncos allowed one 20-plus-yard completion at Western Michigan. Now a Utah State quarterback coming off a career-high 242 yards visits for the Pac-12 opener.

Read the rooting guide →
Boise State runs the ball against Air Force in 2025.
Boise State faces Air Force in 2025.
CreditPhoto creditTrevor CokleyWikimedia Commons · Public domainCropped to 16:9, resized and converted to WebP by Fan Watch.

Your game

Utah State at Boise State
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CBSSN
Final
Utah State
Final · Utah State 18–37 Boise StateWish granted ✓
Boise State

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Boise State wanted
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ESPNU
Impact 1
Rooted for
Marshall
at
James Madison
Final · Marshall 17–45 James MadisonWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.9-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection23% if Marshall won19% with the other result3.9-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
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CBSSN
Impact 2
Liberty
at
Rooted for
Delaware
Final · Liberty 30–14 DelawareWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Liberty won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Delaware won19% with the other result1.9-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 3
North Texas
at
Rooted for
Tulsa
Final · North Texas 45–44 TulsaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

North Texas won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Tulsa won19% with the other result1.6-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
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ESPN+
Impact 4
Ohio
at
Rooted for
Kent State
Final · Ohio 13–10 Kent StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Ohio won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Kent State won19% with the other result1.5-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
51 other games had little impact
Oregon State at Colorado State · USA Network
Texas State at San Diego State · The CW Network
Western Kentucky at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Penn State at Northwestern · FOX
Memphis at Charlotte · ESPN+
Alabama at Mississippi State · ABC
Middle Tennessee at Kansas · ESPNU
UCF at Houston · ESPN2
West Virginia at Iowa State · TNT
Boston College at SMU · The CW Network
Notre Dame at North Carolina · ESPN
Stanford at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn · CBSSN
Michigan at Minnesota · FOX
Navy at Air Force · CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin · BTN
Vanderbilt at Georgia · SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State · ESPN+
Florida at Missouri · ABC
Auburn at Tennessee · ESPN
California at UNLV · CBSSN
Louisville at NC State · ACC Network
Virginia at Florida State · ESPN2
Ohio State at Iowa · CBS
Wyoming at North Dakota State · The CW Network
Akron at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State · ESPN+
Maryland at Nebraska · FS1
UTEP at New Mexico · MW+
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois · BTN
Arkansas at Texas A&M · ESPN2
BYU at TCU · ESPN
UTSA at Rice · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Colorado · FOX
Miami at Clemson · ABC
Washington at USC · NBC
Temple at South Florida · ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Indiana at Rutgers · BTN
Arkansas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State · USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State · ESPN
Cincinnati at Arizona · FOX
San José State at Hawai'i · MW+
The rooting list was:Boise State, then Marshall, Delaware, Tulsa, Kent State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.