The Pac-12 race
8 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
8 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.6–2.4 | 46% | 25% | 4% |
 Boise State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–2.5 | 44% | 24% | 4% |
 San Diego State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–2.8 | 35% | 17% | 2% |
 Washington State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.0–3.0 | 30% | 15% | 2% |
 Fresno State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.9–3.1 | 27% | 13% | 2% |
 Utah State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–3.6 | 15% | 6% | <1% |
 Oregon State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.8–5.2 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Colorado State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.7–5.3 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with preseason ratings projected from last season: way too early, enjoy responsibly. How the model works.