The Pac-12 race
8 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 1 · 2026
8 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Washington State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.9–2.1 | 59% | 36% | 5% |
 Boise State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.7–2.3 | 53% | 29% | 3% |
 San Diego State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–2.6 | 40% | 19% | 1% |
 Texas State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.6–3.4 | 19% | 7% | <1% |
 Fresno State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–3.6 | 16% | 6% | <1% |
 Utah State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.7–4.3 | 7% | 2% | <1% |
 Colorado State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.4–4.6 | 4% | 1% | <1% |
 Oregon State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.9–5.1 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (preseason). How the model works.